Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa38e93cf53203e4d373c7b211bf35bf7f4bb0384ea682bf5b94101a11ff0359f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 3,114$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.56 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 70c | 791.91$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.34 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 5c | 568.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.67 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 51c | 440$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked No | 53c | 436$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.07 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 13c | 402.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.65 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 370.69$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.76 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 43c | 299.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 51c | 264.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 78c | 258.69$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df2abacked Yes | 50c | 199.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 177$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed No | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 19c | 132.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 60c | 132.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed No | 45c | 128.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0714backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 126.34$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 47c | 108.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…6cdcbacked Yes | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 63c | 102.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 47c | 88.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f2…94c0backed No | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Yes | 59c | 73.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b2…34b5backed Yes | 41c | 73.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 64.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 47c | 60.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Yes | 48c | 56.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 57c | 56.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…a3a4backed Yes | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 79c | 45.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 63c | 39.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 37c | 34.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…c19ebacked No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 48c | 30.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed No | 53c | 22.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 55c | 21.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…27acbacked No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 63c | 19.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 70c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.