Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x129704af6f7e2ac6a7820f6842f18bc84ffbeff434fcc982ae1061ad1803b00d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 17c | 5,743$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.1 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 4,103$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 2,776$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.1 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 21c | 1,644$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.51 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 9c | 667.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 71c | 623.25$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 20c | 513.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 70c | 414.36$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Under | 19c | 388$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 77c | 368.25$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 79c | 357.41$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 18c | 268.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 19c | 142.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b06bbacked Over | 79c | 123.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 13c | 119.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Over | 60c | 83.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…e7e7backed Under | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 58.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 73c | 52.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 41.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 32c | 40.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 72c | 40.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 30c | 39.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Over | 71c | 35.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…24aebacked Over | 60c | 18.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf047…db3abacked Over | 74c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.