WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa93b8090bcd1536871796667d8f5a35a0f86b8ca817ad981b7bc36aecbaf387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Los Angeles Sparks, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 2,527$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.47 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 1,922$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.66 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 644.76$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 588$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 346.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 341.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.97 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Sparks | 62c | 291$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 38c | 291$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.42 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 72.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 54.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6128…b3e7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 40.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…f36ebacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 35.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb15…ad34backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 26.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 170.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 171.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.