Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d329f3251f918be141e1f2afadf7419456bc11b61d344182456b5f77e87e3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 48c | 1,263$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 755.27$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.83 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 56c | 635.21$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.82 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 568.09$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.96 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…4325backed Yes | 56c | 566.48$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 52c | 509.8$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.69 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14db…7cafbacked No | 44c | 456.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.07 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…3cf9backed No | 43c | 319.17$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.93 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 47c | 306.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 287.85$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 75c | 280.25$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 48c | 279.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed No | 43c | 269.17$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 10c | 263.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 43c | 234$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 51c | 228.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 44c | 227.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 6c | 213.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 208.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked Yes | 53c | 208.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 205.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 68c | 203.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 16c | 199.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 196.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 38c | 189.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…116fbacked Yes | 59c | 186.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd636…10efbacked No | 63c | 169.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 56c | 164.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 156.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed No | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 50c | 139.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 54c | 135.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 52c | 135.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…edf6backed Yes | 47c | 120.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 56c | 120.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 47c | 117.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 43c | 117.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 35c | 117$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 29c | 117$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b2…615dbacked Yes | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 44c | 111.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 35c | 108$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…3b3bbacked No | 43c | 104.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 24c | 102.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…2ff7backed No | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 52c | 101.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 47c | 99.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 61c | 97.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 48c | 93.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…3c24backed Yes | 57c | 87.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +129%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 84.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 48c | 83.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 83.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 50c | 82.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 56c | 81.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 48c | 81.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 48c | 79.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 61c | 74.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 56c | 69.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 56c | 69.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 58c | 69.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 47c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 49c | 67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 52c | 61.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…63e1backed Yes | 28c | 61.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 32c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed Yes | 72c | 60.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…4534backed No | 50c | 59.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 59c | 59.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a9…b031backed Yes | 66c | 59.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 37c | 58.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…6b35backed Yes | 60c | 58.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 58c | 55.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 48c | 54.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…a738backed Yes | 37c | 54.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 56c | 54.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 47c | 54.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…6e66backed Yes | 39c | 53.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed Yes | 40c | 50.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…a8cebacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 40c | 49.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…c879backed No | 51c | 48.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533a…89aabacked Yes | 37c | 48.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 63c | 47.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.