Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Benjamin O'connell vs Noah Zamora
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e4ddd3afda3d586de8d94dab2115a3d583a5fbc203fd3aef1d358eb2cef360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noah Zamoraof Benjamin O'connell, Noah Zamora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Noah Zamora | 65c | 1,601$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.7 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Benjamin O'connell | 34c | 531.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.33 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Benjamin O'connell | 32c | 513.88$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Benjamin O'connell | 37c | 406.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Noah Zamora | 59c | 269.34$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Benjamin O'connell | 44c | 209.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Benjamin O'connell | 47c | 194.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Noah Zamora | 59c | 189.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Benjamin O'connell | 22c | 168.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Noah Zamora | 57c | 153.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Noah Zamora | 61c | 148.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Benjamin O'connell | 42c | 126.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Noah Zamora | 59c | 121.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Noah Zamora | 78c | 120.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Benjamin O'connell | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Benjamin O'connell | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Noah Zamora | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Benjamin O'connell | 44c | 92.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Noah Zamora | 54c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Noah Zamora | 62c | 81.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Benjamin O'connell | 41c | 78.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Benjamin O'connell | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Benjamin O'connell | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Noah Zamora | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Benjamin O'connell | 41c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Benjamin O'connell | 42c | 52.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Benjamin O'connell | 42c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Benjamin O'connell | 42c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Benjamin O'connell | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Noah Zamora | 64c | 46.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Noah Zamora | 64c | 44.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Noah Zamora | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Noah Zamora | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Benjamin O'connell | 47c | 39.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…142ebacked Noah Zamora | 71c | 24.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +8.9wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Noah Zamora | 49c | 23.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Noah Zamora | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Noah Zamora | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…d0c7backed Noah Zamora | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…d4ebbacked Noah Zamora | 76c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Noah Zamora | 74c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Noah Zamora | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.