NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Chicago Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c0a95fedfcc42818def7fdccdd4d840c8e4a8a28ab74fa4894a2af1d12dba9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphis Grizzliesof Memphis Grizzlies, Chicago Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Chicago Bulls | 3c | 6,700$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.61 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Chicago Bulls | 25c | 5,000$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.72 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago Bulls | 1c | 1,846$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Memphis Grizzlies | 74c | 1,464$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago Bulls | 14c | 1,191$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Chicago Bulls | 10c | 671.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Chicago Bulls | 12c | 671.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Memphis Grizzlies | 67c | 579.87$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 78c | 548.61$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Chicago Bulls | 21c | 534.61$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +13.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…43d5backed Chicago Bulls | 27c | 449.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Chicago Bulls | 3c | 431.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Chicago Bulls | 15c | 414.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Memphis Grizzlies | 77c | 349.88$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Chicago Bulls | 26c | 299.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Memphis Grizzlies | 66c | 285.25$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Chicago Bulls | 35c | 283.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Bulls | 23c | 259.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…e172backed Chicago Bulls | 34c | 205.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Chicago Bulls | 32c | 201.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago Bulls | 33c | 195$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Chicago Bulls | 26c | 191.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Memphis Grizzlies | 68c | 190.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Chicago Bulls | 34c | 139.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago Bulls | 19c | 126$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Chicago Bulls | 17c | 119.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…ac8cbacked Chicago Bulls | 22c | 100.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Bulls | 31c | 100.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 271 | 45.4%123 W · 148 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaca…23d7backed Chicago Bulls | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Chicago Bulls | 22c | 92.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Chicago Bulls | 31c | 86.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Memphis Grizzlies | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Memphis Grizzlies | 75c | 82.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…6a2ebacked Chicago Bulls | 22c | 78.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Memphis Grizzlies | 67c | 74.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Chicago Bulls | 27c | 74.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Chicago Bulls | 27c | 73.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Chicago Bulls | 31c | 72.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…73fabacked Memphis Grizzlies | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 77c | 71.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Memphis Grizzlies | 68c | 70.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…b6cdbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…1733backed Chicago Bulls | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Memphis Grizzlies | 76c | 55.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Memphis Grizzlies | 78c | 46.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 78c | 42.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Memphis Grizzlies | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Chicago Bulls | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Chicago Bulls | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Chicago Bulls | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Memphis Grizzlies | 76c | 28.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…22a4backed Memphis Grizzlies | 74c | 27.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Memphis Grizzlies | 65c | 22.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7f…64b7backed Memphis Grizzlies | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…d4ebbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 66c | 17.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.