Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Cheuk Ying Shek vs Ikumi Yamazaki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x943e12dbb784009f4b1a1ec72a243a84fc7f239a6bb389481b1ffa8a0e645f34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cheuk Ying Shekof Cheuk Ying Shek, Ikumi Yamazaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 61c | 2,026$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.86 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 39c | 2,026$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.86 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 45c | 746.6$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.79 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.91 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 51c | 364.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 45c | 210.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 46c | 179.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 52c | 95.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 72c | 89.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 47c | 73.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…8504backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 26c | 70.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 47c | 52.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 65c | 51.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 48c | 42.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 53c | 38.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 45c | 31.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 48c | 27.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…d4ebbacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 71c | 20.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.