Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Jiang/Xu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cc9d59669d3f7fd482119b8038092ced120459295d1042c512b820ad845bfde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guo/Mladenovicof Guo/Mladenovic, Jiang/Xu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jiang/Xu | 7c | 3,524$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Guo/Mladenovic | 64c | 2,819$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.15 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jiang/Xu | 37c | 2,157$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.33 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Guo/Mladenovic | 68c | 1,681$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.54 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jiang/Xu | 27c | 1,482$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.26 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jiang/Xu | 49c | 1,006$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.79 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Jiang/Xu | 25c | 840.53$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Guo/Mladenovic | 63c | 833.77$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.46 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Jiang/Xu | 33c | 699.89$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.96 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Jiang/Xu | 10c | 693.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jiang/Xu | 28c | 554.48$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jiang/Xu | 31c | 530.13$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.34 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Jiang/Xu | 20c | 509.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guo/Mladenovic | 71c | 446.76$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jiang/Xu | 27c | 435.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jiang/Xu | 31c | 432.69$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 70c | 341.79$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 276.97$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Jiang/Xu | 15c | 265$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Jiang/Xu | 27c | 258.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Guo/Mladenovic | 53c | 219.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…eaafbacked Jiang/Xu | 51c | 216.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Jiang/Xu | 28c | 210.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Guo/Mladenovic | 73c | 204.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Guo/Mladenovic | 70c | 201.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Guo/Mladenovic | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Jiang/Xu | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed Guo/Mladenovic | 56c | 179.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 306 | 53.3%163 W · 143 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Jiang/Xu | 18c | 164.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Jiang/Xu | 45c | 158.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 157.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Guo/Mladenovic | 73c | 153.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jiang/Xu | 14c | 146.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Guo/Mladenovic | 69c | 144.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 278 | 71.6%199 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Guo/Mladenovic | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Jiang/Xu | 10c | 118.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 117.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Jiang/Xu | 33c | 108.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Jiang/Xu | 17c | 106.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Jiang/Xu | 42c | 106.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4037…143bbacked Jiang/Xu | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Jiang/Xu | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Jiang/Xu | 29c | 99.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 43c | 88.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Jiang/Xu | 30c | 87.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jiang/Xu | 32c | 67.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d6…a82cbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 68c | 65.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf517…73efbacked Jiang/Xu | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Jiang/Xu | 28c | 58.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Jiang/Xu | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 56.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Jiang/Xu | 52c | 54.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Jiang/Xu | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Guo/Mladenovic | 69c | 47.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Jiang/Xu | 32c | 47.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Jiang/Xu | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Guo/Mladenovic | 78c | 42.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Jiang/Xu | 35c | 42.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 53.2%148 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…fc7ebacked Guo/Mladenovic | 49c | 40.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Jiang/Xu | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…b8bfbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 68c | 36.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…848dbacked Jiang/Xu | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830a…ba19backed Jiang/Xu | 35c | 33.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed Guo/Mladenovic | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Jiang/Xu | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.6wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…d4ebbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 25.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…1305backed Jiang/Xu | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…db1abacked Guo/Mladenovic | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…9642backed Guo/Mladenovic | 68c | 21.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Jiang/Xu | 49c | 21.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Guo/Mladenovic | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.