TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6400…db1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$55.52
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$41.78
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$16.95
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38%+$31.55
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.39
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$29.31
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$17.99
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.92
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$17.09
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Jiang/Xubacked Guo/Mladenovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
ITF Aschaffenburg: Anastasiya Sobolieva vs Eva Bennemannbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Neel/Olmos vs Eikeri/Gleasonbacked Eikeri/Gleason · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tausonbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$7.13
ITF Gdansk: Carolina Alves vs Martina Capurro Tabordabacked Carolina Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Maanshan: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Jeong Moonbacked Eva Marie Desvignes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
ITF Wuning: Yeongseok Jeong vs Fanming Mengbacked Fanming Meng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Lucie Havlickovabacked Maria Lourdes Carle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$8.3
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Klosters: Dylan Dietrich vs Sandro Koppbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Poznan: Gustavo Heide vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$11.87
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
ITF Grado: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Lucio Rattibacked Lucio Ratti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF Wichita: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinovabacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Middlesexbacked Sussex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.