Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aschaffenburg: Anastasiya Sobolieva vs Eva Bennemann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3ec3075b3d2f94d16ac3dd88131c2c6f10f6cf9ad9c0398a3e204bdb866810b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasiya Sobolievaof Anastasiya Sobolieva, Eva Bennemann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 77c | 1,878$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.09 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Eva Bennemann | 12c | 1,445$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Eva Bennemann | 28c | 998.54$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Eva Bennemann | 26c | 772$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 73c | 732.52$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.69 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Eva Bennemann | 12c | 651.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Eva Bennemann | 22c | 420$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Eva Bennemann | 9c | 172.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Eva Bennemann | 15c | 168$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 79c | 138.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Eva Bennemann | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 73c | 112.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Eva Bennemann | 20c | 104.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Eva Bennemann | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eva Bennemann | 19c | 73.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 75c | 73.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Eva Bennemann | 28c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Eva Bennemann | 23c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eva Bennemann | 20c | 50.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…db1abacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 75c | 26.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 77c | 16.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.