Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gdansk: Carolina Alves vs Martina Capurro Taborda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54f4c6e57a054f457eb6d6a1630f4b782ca4acb3a249cb8c5cf8bc728a6b3b42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martina Capurro Tabordaof Carolina Alves, Martina Capurro Taborda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 62c | 6,162$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.71 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carolina Alves | 43c | 2,801$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Carolina Alves | 12c | 1,436$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 67c | 771.97$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Carolina Alves | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Carolina Alves | 40c | 396.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Carolina Alves | 30c | 327.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 54c | 326.64$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.52 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Carolina Alves | 40c | 230.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carolina Alves | 48c | 229.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Carolina Alves | 28c | 215.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 61c | 211$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carolina Alves | 18c | 210$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Carolina Alves | 21c | 124.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Carolina Alves | 60c | 124$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Carolina Alves | 24c | 112.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carolina Alves | 31c | 105.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Carolina Alves | 49c | 103.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Carolina Alves | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Carolina Alves | 39c | 77.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Carolina Alves | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Carolina Alves | 42c | 70.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Carolina Alves | 52c | 66.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 65c | 58.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Carolina Alves | 27c | 58.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Carolina Alves | 51c | 58.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 43c | 58.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Carolina Alves | 39c | 58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Carolina Alves | 38c | 52.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Carolina Alves | 48c | 48.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carolina Alves | 36c | 44.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Carolina Alves | 40c | 39.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…db1abacked Carolina Alves | 58c | 34.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 49c | 31.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Carolina Alves | 34c | 30.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Carolina Alves | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Carolina Alves | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 53c | 28.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 69c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 49c | 24.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 58c | 23.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Carolina Alves | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Carolina Alves | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 69c | 16.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Gdansk: Carolina Alves vs Martina Capurro Tabordathis page
- Alves vs. Taborda: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.