MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72b9ab9e118b1e69bc739cfcf482e94f3247ad648a446b03f88dc673be8fd203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Doosan Bears, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 15c | 2,845$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…0665backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 1,173$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…ffcabacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 626.87$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.07 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LG Twins | 71c | 536.64$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed LG Twins | 60c | 334.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.67 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked LG Twins | 74c | 331.97$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 68c | 279.28$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed LG Twins | 57c | 262.61$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 59c | 249.39$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 56c | 209.28$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed LG Twins | 59c | 175.17$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Doosan Bears | 17c | 161.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 159.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 158.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed LG Twins | 60c | 156.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 59c | 153.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 147.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Doosan Bears | 17c | 147$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed LG Twins | 58c | 140.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed LG Twins | 58c | 140.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…bd67backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 106.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Doosan Bears | 11c | 103.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Doosan Bears | 30c | 99.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 90.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed LG Twins | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 61.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed LG Twins | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 78c | 49.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 61c | 40.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed LG Twins | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 33.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked LG Twins | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed LG Twins | 60c | 33.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed LG Twins | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…1d99backed LG Twins | 60c | 29.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…3506backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…513dbacked LG Twins | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed LG Twins | 78c | 22.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed LG Twins | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…aad7backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496d…308cbacked LG Twins | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…db1abacked LG Twins | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed LG Twins | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked LG Twins | 60c | 19.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 262 | 51.9%136 W · 126 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.