Tennis · resolved market
ITF Grado: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Lucio Ratti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07969b370b6aceecc3028a582401df91ab6430c0e56860212aa8abef7d7ea523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gianmarco Ferrariof Gianmarco Ferrari, Lucio Ratti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lucio Ratti | 25c | 631.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucio Ratti | 28c | 386.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lucio Ratti | 8c | 380.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lucio Ratti | 6c | 252.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lucio Ratti | 47c | 197.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lucio Ratti | 6c | 193.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lucio Ratti | 45c | 178.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 48c | 124.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lucio Ratti | 29c | 119.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 77c | 96.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Lucio Ratti | 61c | 83.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 44c | 54.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 56c | 43.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275d…6b0cbacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…db1abacked Lucio Ratti | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lucio Ratti | 54c | 21.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.