TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Trieste: Lukas Neumayer vs Henri Squire

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Henri Squireof Lukas Neumayer, Henri Squire
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xebfd…fd63backed Henri Squire58c30,031$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,531.173735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lukas Neumayer42c13,161$5,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,462.219,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Lukas Neumayer2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lukas Neumayer42c4,542$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.9611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Henri Squire33c1,820$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.745,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lukas Neumayer43c1,749$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.524,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lukas Neumayer45c1,652$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.529,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Lukas Neumayer68c1,463$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010452.9%55 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lukas Neumayer37c1,411$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.83,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Henri Squire56c1,393$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.198,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Lukas Neumayer24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012852.3%67 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Henri Squire57c1,016$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.428,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Lukas Neumayer7c982.8$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.581,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Lukas Neumayer69c955.07$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65912849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Henri Squire33c900.48$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.4411838.1%45 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d0…54dabacked Lukas Neumayer60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-82.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Henri Squire37c754.59$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.391,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Lukas Neumayer27c740$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.81,13145.4%514 W · 617 L-34.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Lukas Neumayer48c610.34$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941,05340.9%431 W · 622 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Henri Squire31c593.73$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.6733234%113 W · 219 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Lukas Neumayer38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20087837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Henri Squire32c519.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.591,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Henri Squire33c515.09$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.152,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Henri Squire32c499.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.983,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Henri Squire66c489.68$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.314,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Lukas Neumayer68c487.19$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.944,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ce…e2bdbacked Lukas Neumayer51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013056.2%73 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Lukas Neumayer41c344.3$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4233043.9%145 W · 185 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Lukas Neumayer30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Lukas Neumayer31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Henri Squire42c312.56$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5617646%81 W · 95 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Henri Squire33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0337238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Henri Squire64c288.92$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.624856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Henri Squire67c274.95$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.591,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Lukas Neumayer67c267.88$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.293,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…95a2backed Lukas Neumayer66c252.62$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.737262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Lukas Neumayer66c250.08$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0586050.1%431 W · 429 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Lukas Neumayer43c246.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.811,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lukas Neumayer67c230.69$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.563,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Lukas Neumayer26c230$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022230.6%68 W · 154 L-25.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lukas Neumayer43c216.65$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.233,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9016…7c89backed Lukas Neumayer25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503813.2%5 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lukas Neumayer67c196.06$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.367,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Lukas Neumayer36c192.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7024159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Lukas Neumayer41c172$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1597852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Lukas Neumayer16c160.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2355357.3%317 W · 236 L+34.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed Henri Squire63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.739142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c8…a722backed Henri Squire63c157.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.147256.9%41 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Henri Squire71c153.93$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6488157.9%510 W · 371 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Lukas Neumayer66c151.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Lukas Neumayer32c148.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4853736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Lukas Neumayer66c143.18$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.565949.3%325 W · 334 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Henri Squire74c122.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8547274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Lukas Neumayer35c121.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.141,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Henri Squire32c121.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.421,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Henri Squire60c104.51$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.432,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Lukas Neumayer67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Henri Squire58c97.32$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.876,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Lukas Neumayer30c96.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Henri Squire33c90.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.95552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Henri Squire33c89.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.891,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Lukas Neumayer42c88.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.114644.5%65 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Henri Squire53c88.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.212,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Lukas Neumayer62c81.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6639039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Lukas Neumayer68c79.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.052,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Henri Squire32c78.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.21,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Henri Squire63c77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.711,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Lukas Neumayer68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044952.8%237 W · 212 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Lukas Neumayer69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Henri Squire31c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4883747.6%398 W · 439 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Lukas Neumayer52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.444949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e97…8504backed Henri Squire72c69.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.469659.4%57 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Lukas Neumayer67c65.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.948245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Henri Squire64c62.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.372,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Henri Squire33c59.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3825237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Lukas Neumayer22c55.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4522552%117 W · 108 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Lukas Neumayer62c53.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4739052.1%203 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Henri Squire57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6365434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Lukas Neumayer62c51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.464,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Henri Squire32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,26944.8%568 W · 701 L-5.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Henri Squire32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3457449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Lukas Neumayer66c49.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7920566.8%137 W · 68 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Henri Squire70c46.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.021,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0b…8202backed Henri Squire32c46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.283756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Henri Squire54c45.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6933656.8%191 W · 145 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Lukas Neumayer67c44.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.021,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Henri Squire68c40.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.091,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Henri Squire33c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d62…0a41backed Lukas Neumayer28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22060%12 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Henri Squire44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.361,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Lukas Neumayer27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.818537.3%69 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1f…89e0backed Lukas Neumayer28c39.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Henri Squire76c39.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.549251.6%254 W · 238 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lukas Neumayer67c37.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.125,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Lukas Neumayer68c36.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.133458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Lukas Neumayer63c34.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.847251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Henri Squire68c33.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.876,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Henri Squire48c33.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.432,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bce…db46backed Lukas Neumayer42c33.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415854.4%86 W · 72 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Henri Squire68c32.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3999244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.