TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rome: Nuria Brancaccio vs Eva Vedder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuria Brancaccioof Nuria Brancaccio, Eva Vedder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,939 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nuria Brancaccio42c20,208$8,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,699.234,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Eva Vedder44c11,490$5,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,087.193,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Eva Vedder58c8,681$5,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,033.1593740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Eva Vedder37c5,839$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1501,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Nuria Brancaccio42c4,934$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.5861152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50d0…a6fcbacked Eva Vedder58c3,294$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Eva Vedder57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71053043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Eva Vedder6c2,630$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.018,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eva Vedder48c2,511$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.078,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Eva Vedder7c1,793$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.168,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Eva Vedder57c1,743$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.621,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Nuria Brancaccio69c1,383$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.173,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Eva Vedder23c1,372$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9917323.7%41 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Nuria Brancaccio43c1,346$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.2226546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Nuria Brancaccio55c1,192$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9822337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Nuria Brancaccio43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.827254.4%148 W · 124 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Eva Vedder25c1,158$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Nuria Brancaccio42c1,109$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.2211153.2%59 W · 52 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked Eva Vedder23c984.24$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22517943.6%78 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Eva Vedder57c877$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.896448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Eva Vedder47c833$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.844,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Nuria Brancaccio44c785.98$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.4392237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Nuria Brancaccio42c740.25$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.3432333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…20c0backed Nuria Brancaccio59c655.14$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.619053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Eva Vedder22c590.91$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Eva Vedder41c578.05$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23715456.5%87 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea51…8915backed Eva Vedder52c555.72$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Nuria Brancaccio41c550.28$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.032,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Nuria Brancaccio50c540$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27020846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Eva Vedder43c533.44$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23030647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Eva Vedder13c513.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.462,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Eva Vedder4c421$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.841,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Eva Vedder26c310.24$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.964,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Eva Vedder57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17156153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Eva Vedder58c272.74$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.857660.5%46 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Eva Vedder16c250$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415932.2%19 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Eva Vedder25c227.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2339751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Eva Vedder58c220.69$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12839254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Eva Vedder46c215.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10079646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nuria Brancaccio42c211.14$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.462,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Eva Vedder12c205.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.611,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Eva Vedder56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11215349.7%76 W · 77 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Eva Vedder54c192.59$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Nuria Brancaccio42c179.48$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.110158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Eva Vedder58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10084857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Nuria Brancaccio50c171.52$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7627748.7%135 W · 142 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Eva Vedder58c170.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.032,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Eva Vedder57c166.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.932546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Nuria Brancaccio43c159.09$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.681,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Nuria Brancaccio61c158.66$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.091,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nuria Brancaccio40c158$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.17,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ffe…7473backed Eva Vedder13c154.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Eva Vedder57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2767848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Eva Vedder60c140$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8469253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Nuria Brancaccio41c138$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4272638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Nuria Brancaccio51c137.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0548331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb25e…6deabacked Eva Vedder59c135.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Nuria Brancaccio41c129.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.821,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Eva Vedder46c128$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.885,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Nuria Brancaccio80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2586470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Eva Vedder29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3571021.3%151 W · 559 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Eva Vedder57c114.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6811145.9%51 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Eva Vedder18c108.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2692352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Eva Vedder58c107.26$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.535747.9%171 W · 186 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Eva Vedder47c102.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4939451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116a…a2f2backed Nuria Brancaccio44c102.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.271957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Eva Vedder58c101.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7317152.6%90 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Eva Vedder56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc6…d4ffbacked Eva Vedder26c87.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.495145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Eva Vedder38c85.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.910829.6%32 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Eva Vedder58c81.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0517158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Nuria Brancaccio50c78.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.985,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Nuria Brancaccio58c75.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.22,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Eva Vedder60c74.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3240861.3%250 W · 158 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe66c…eee2backed Nuria Brancaccio76c74.01$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85af…c5ffbacked Eva Vedder24c73.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.633930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed Eva Vedder24c68.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.289136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe39f…a954backed Eva Vedder20c62.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Eva Vedder63c60.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6473048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Nuria Brancaccio79c56.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.964973.5%36 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0677…2a28backed Eva Vedder57c50.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910135.6%36 W · 65 L-11.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Nuria Brancaccio80c50.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Eva Vedder57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.557449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Nuria Brancaccio42c44.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0939851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Eva Vedder56c44.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7415854.4%86 W · 72 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cea…4671backed Eva Vedder57c43.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Nuria Brancaccio42c42.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6230055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Nuria Brancaccio43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Nuria Brancaccio76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.69361.3%57 W · 36 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Eva Vedder55c37.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.171,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc95d…d369backed Eva Vedder29c36.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3917050.6%86 W · 84 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Eva Vedder58c35.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.371,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cdb…4cc2backed Eva Vedder58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.33372.7%24 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Eva Vedder60c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eva Vedder32c31.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.056,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Eva Vedder57c31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6731347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Nuria Brancaccio43c30.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2310847.2%51 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a2…b515backed Nuria Brancaccio54c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.999360.2%56 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Nuria Brancaccio40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1885637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Nuria Brancaccio41c29.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.662,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.