Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Matias Soto vs Lorenzo Claverie
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf67b7e9dea640bbc22331c0ef33d4cd845beb781194f2a65f95f8f2cdda884ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matias Sotoof Matias Soto, Lorenzo Claverie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Matias Soto | 61c | 30,645$18,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,826.19 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Claverie | 35c | 19,013$6,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,670.08 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matias Soto | 60c | 8,416$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lorenzo Claverie | 15c | 3,992$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.8 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lorenzo Claverie | 40c | 2,319$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.21 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Matias Soto | 65c | 1,766$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.11 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 15c | 1,669$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.9 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matias Soto | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matias Soto | 63c | 1,388$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.64 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…e829backed Matias Soto | 57c | 1,126$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.32 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Lorenzo Claverie | 36c | 993.63$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.71 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lorenzo Claverie | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matias Soto | 77c | 734.97$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Matias Soto | 60c | 596.25$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Matias Soto | 64c | 593.75$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Matias Soto | 56c | 488$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.03 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 27c | 363$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Matias Soto | 61c | 357.69$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lorenzo Claverie | 18c | 336.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Matias Soto | 64c | 324$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.23 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Lorenzo Claverie | 32c | 319.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lorenzo Claverie | 34c | 317.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…41d3backed Matias Soto | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lorenzo Claverie | 37c | 281.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Matias Soto | 72c | 254$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Lorenzo Claverie | 36c | 241.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lorenzo Claverie | 33c | 234.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Matias Soto | 61c | 167.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…4944backed Matias Soto | 61c | 159.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 164 | 69.5%114 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Matias Soto | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Matias Soto | 57c | 153.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Matias Soto | 64c | 153.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Matias Soto | 65c | 147.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Lorenzo Claverie | 35c | 142.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Lorenzo Claverie | 37c | 105.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 27c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Lorenzo Claverie | 36c | 101.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Lorenzo Claverie | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 28c | 90.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…10ffbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 36c | 82.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 36c | 82.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Lorenzo Claverie | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Lorenzo Claverie | 27c | 73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Lorenzo Claverie | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…8504backed Lorenzo Claverie | 37c | 56.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Lorenzo Claverie | 36c | 55.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Matias Soto | 63c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Lorenzo Claverie | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Matias Soto | 73c | 51.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Matias Soto | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lorenzo Claverie | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Lorenzo Claverie | 36c | 49.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lorenzo Claverie | 22c | 48.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Matias Soto | 63c | 47.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Matias Soto | 64c | 42.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Matias Soto | 64c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Matias Soto | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Matias Soto | 61c | 34.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matias Soto | 65c | 30.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Matias Soto | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Matias Soto | 69c | 29.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Matias Soto | 62c | 28.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Matias Soto | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Matias Soto | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Matias Soto | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Matias Soto | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Matias Soto | 75c | 18.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 82 | 82.9%68 W · 14 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Matias Soto | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Matias Soto | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bogota: Matias Soto vs Lorenzo Claveriethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Soto vs ClaverieSoto won
- Soto vs. Claverie: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.