TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Granby: August Holmgren vs Aidan Mayo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
August Holmgrenof August Holmgren, Aidan Mayo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1393…9cf8backed Aidan Mayo35c13,280$4,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,647.965940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked August Holmgren67c4,971$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.7511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a3…9b39backed August Holmgren61c4,099$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.1611554.8%63 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed August Holmgren74c3,259$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.153,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Aidan Mayo36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08037738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked August Holmgren64c2,333$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.156,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed August Holmgren70c1,697$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.832,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Aidan Mayo32c1,553$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.891,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Aidan Mayo37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44448842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Aidan Mayo37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9943743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Aidan Mayo37c1,082$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aidan Mayo32c1,066$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.968,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Aidan Mayo23c1,045$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.878,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Aidan Mayo21c742.13$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.235,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed August Holmgren58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6638557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Aidan Mayo13c672.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.041,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d6…9357backed August Holmgren67c639.75$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.125971.2%42 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Aidan Mayo32c464.06$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.539135.8%140 W · 251 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed August Holmgren64c423.31$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.253,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed August Holmgren58c420.61$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8828835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked August Holmgren63c413.62$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4362457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Aidan Mayo26c358.51$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.58,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked August Holmgren68c290.49$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.461,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed August Holmgren69c228.81$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.361,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Aidan Mayo37c164.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.322,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Aidan Mayo37c160.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7485250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked August Holmgren63c158.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.311,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked August Holmgren65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8517859%105 W · 73 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1d…09bfbacked Aidan Mayo35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed August Holmgren61c141.1$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.29,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed August Holmgren68c133.19$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1954955.2%303 W · 246 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed August Holmgren69c131.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.372,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Aidan Mayo37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.11,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked August Holmgren80c124.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8417972.6%130 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Aidan Mayo22c110.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.44,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed August Holmgren67c108.19$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0476355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Aidan Mayo36c108.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.921,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Aidan Mayo49c102.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.694,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed August Holmgren56c101.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8744949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Aidan Mayo37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.51,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe2…697abacked Aidan Mayo20c95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1912029.2%35 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed August Holmgren55c94.55$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.552,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed August Holmgren63c93.8$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7124546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked August Holmgren69c90.87$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.581,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed August Holmgren65c90.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.522638.9%88 W · 138 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Aidan Mayo36c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.485637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Aidan Mayo34c86.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.017,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked August Holmgren64c78.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1217158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Aidan Mayo18c77.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.154,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed August Holmgren73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.992674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Aidan Mayo50c64.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.482,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Aidan Mayo37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.528543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf2…898ebacked Aidan Mayo20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Aidan Mayo40c46.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.91,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Aidan Mayo35c44.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.417,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95d…d369backed Aidan Mayo26c42.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9917050.6%86 W · 84 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed August Holmgren48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.828437.3%106 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30b8…b6a0backed Aidan Mayo38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Aidan Mayo32c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Aidan Mayo31c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8517643.8%77 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed August Holmgren69c33.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed August Holmgren54c32.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1322262.6%139 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Aidan Mayo35c30.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.855032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed August Holmgren68c27.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2433…b690backed August Holmgren76c25.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.191729.4%5 W · 12 L-5.4wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked August Holmgren46c25.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7951942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed August Holmgren61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8797852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed August Holmgren51c20.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.961,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked August Holmgren66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked August Holmgren65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed August Holmgren66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.821,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked August Holmgren66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked August Holmgren66c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked August Holmgren54c19.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.851,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed August Holmgren54c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6833855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed August Holmgren69c17.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4926746.1%123 W · 144 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked August Holmgren62c17.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7419637.2%73 W · 123 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked August Holmgren60c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6758750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed August Holmgren63c16.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0728764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.