Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29a2cf3128502db91c60f7445e468e3f723d272a59c47e1606984345822a89e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 25,504$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 7c | 5,926$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.84 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 1,908$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.04 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 8c | 1,520$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…10c6backed Yes | 7c | 1,286$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 8c | 1,230$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 7c | 1,033$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…b83abacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes | 15c | 677.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…0ad7backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 10c | 489.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 9c | 467.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 10c | 463.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…e6c2backed Yes | 5c | 440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6b17backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 8c | 416.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…aaffbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed Yes | 13c | 314.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…625dbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…238abacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 20.8%37 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856b…d0f8backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 7c | 236.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 269 | 46.8%126 W · 143 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 220.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 7c | 219$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes | 14c | 218.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6838…6911backed Yes | 14c | 214.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1da…16e8backed Yes | 15c | 205.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 7c | 205$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f77…2b2fbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58a…eac4backed Yes | 7c | 182$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 160 | 31.3%50 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 7c | 151.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 11c | 145.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 13c | 128.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ead…2edfbacked Yes | 8c | 128.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 14.9%18 W · 103 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…e4c3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…04d0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…51a7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 307 | 32.9%101 W · 206 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…cad2backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1687…74b1backed Yes | 16c | 94.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…97cebacked Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77cb…38b6backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?Yes won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.