Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 United States?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd910336315b3876ef05ed928a544753af5709cc3fa496210da24c2adf470f981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 20,418$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 11,189$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.34 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 12c | 5,123$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.9 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,531$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.41 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,878$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.55 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 1c | 2,652$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,918$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,782$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…dae3backed Yes | 11c | 1,754$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,326$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 12c | 1,206$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.73 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 11c | 1,182$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 12c | 1,083$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2645…0508backed Yes | 10c | 964.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb587…28eebacked Yes | 11c | 845.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…e614backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 11c | 750$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 11c | 591.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 11c | 587.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 10c | 551.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 8c | 501.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 12c | 410$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ad…d9e3backed Yes | 11c | 402.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 11c | 389.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…0ad7backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…9dc1backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ff…0548backed Yes | 7c | 269.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 6c | 255.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 231 | 42.4%98 W · 133 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…a9c3backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 11c | 246.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 11c | 246.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 228.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 12c | 197$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…2efcbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1da…16e8backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 12.4%19 W · 134 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…00eabacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 11c | 168$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 22%22 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa180…6807backed Yes | 12c | 136.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 131$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…f98bbacked Yes | 10c | 127$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…a800backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…18b6backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 12c | 100.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…8e9abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…26f7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…e4dabacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…a8d3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77f…8b69backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 12.1%11 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 12c | 99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…0dfcbacked Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 United States?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?Yes won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.