Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 United States?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bed1ecec7533025ccb83e702dae0689555fb2ee729ae0da9c5eba6603e8a36c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 8c | 19,999$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.95 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 9c | 10,240$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.6 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 9c | 8,067$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.94 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 7,835$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 5,532$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.6 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 8c | 5,313$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.56 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,852$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.17 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Yes | 9c | 3,334$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 8c | 2,409$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 8c | 650$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…876fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 5c | 367.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 6c | 246.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2645…0508backed Yes | 9c | 214.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…ee29backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…dd6bbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Yes | 8c | 162.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…9608backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5121…c122backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…17e6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 United States?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?Yes won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.