Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b5f73e832f5efd147ad3db961e74e19a09e7137404a92760e33e5d6a498eaf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 13,419$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,124.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 3c | 4,997$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,856.91 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,788$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,653.98 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 79c | 3,083$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.51 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 43c | 2,074$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.03 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,909$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.92 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 8c | 1,830$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.95 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 3c | 1,786$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.71 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 15c | 1,390$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.54 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,365$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.69 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 5c | 979$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.5 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 3c | 938.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.18 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 856.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.92 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 72c | 740$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.78 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6b17backed Yes | 3c | 731.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.47 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 3c | 715.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.38 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.67 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 7c | 636.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 16c | 587.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 16c | 584.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed No | 49c | 541.86$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 23c | 505$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 43c | 502.8$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 17c | 500$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.42 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Yes | 14c | 446$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.21 | 197 | 37.6%74 W · 123 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 68c | 438.02$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 5c | 432.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.31 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 13c | 395.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.53 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 13c | 393.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.7 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6838…6911backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 9c | 363.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.33 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No | 17c | 353.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes | 12c | 345.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.38 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 5c | 305.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.61 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5292…0680backed Yes | 7c | 301.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +346.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 13c | 293$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 14c | 292.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.98 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed No | 10c | 253.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 69 | 10.1%7 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 12c | 250$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.25 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…3de7backed Yes | 13c | 248.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.06 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 14c | 242.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.86 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…8d35backed No | 17c | 206.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.29per pick | 16cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Yes | 16c | 158.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 24c | 155.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 76c | 142$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 73c | 130$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb3…f9f6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 14c | 114$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 15c | 106.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 20c | 104$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 23c | 103$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 12c | 100.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…51a7backed Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 307 | 32.9%101 W · 206 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…bd3abacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 66c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.