Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 United States?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb532ec434dceaf83a4fd05038b030c81fe7ea4c18e8083d74139c44da5ffbb4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 5c | 16,619$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 12,099$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 7,345$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.08 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 6c | 5,750$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.75 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 5c | 5,619$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.83 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,477$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.29 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 3,704$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,448$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Yes | 9c | 2,086$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 6c | 1,732$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 8c | 1,654$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 7c | 1,304$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 6c | 1,213$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 5c | 1,132$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…3ad7backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 5c | 947$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 5c | 925.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 5c | 831.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 5c | 746$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 7c | 529.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…af2cbacked Yes | 6c | 526.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 27.2%49 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…2efcbacked Yes | 6c | 517.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…2e88backed Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…dbabbacked Yes | 5c | 499.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Yes | 6c | 462.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes | 5c | 389.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…4e0abacked Yes | 5c | 384.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes | 6c | 350.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 4c | 346.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…ee29backed Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb3…4fbcbacked Yes | 5c | 319.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 5c | 280$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 6c | 259.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 12c | 252.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 8c | 248.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 5c | 230.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e58…94bdbacked Yes | 6c | 210.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 18.2%22 W · 99 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…6ae0backed Yes | 6c | 203.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…3ec7backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…2758backed Yes | 6c | 190$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d19…2ae9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 United States?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 0 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 United States?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?Yes won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.