Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56af2dc98e6c88a3c85587de948988e1a48fe1f8c3c16bd163701df1b7b9c074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 6,300$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.24 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 3,603$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.38 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Yes | 16c | 2,716$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 11c | 2,263$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.93 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,646$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +160.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,221$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +10.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 1,056$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4362…9e47backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…a705backed Yes | 42c | 992.87$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 15c | 927.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 74c | 567.06$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.59 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…3979backed No | 51c | 439.12$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed Yes | 9c | 405.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 4c | 355.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 342.54$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.38 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 67c | 330.64$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 37c | 325.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 34c | 300.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 15c | 260.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 25c | 232.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…adf5backed Yes | 6c | 220.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…9612backed Yes | 15c | 190.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 48c | 187.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 23c | 179.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 57c | 162$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 51c | 157.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 14c | 137.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…4c8fbacked No | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…976abacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 29c | 119.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 40c | 115.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 32c | 112$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 16c | 104.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 76c | 95.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 13c | 95.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked No | 67c | 94.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 17c | 89.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 78c | 88.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 12c | 88.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 12c | 83.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 52c | 76.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 15c | 73.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 70c | 69.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 66.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…47e6backed No | 78c | 63.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 33c | 52.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 23c | 46.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 38c | 45.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 77c | 39.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes | 54c | 37.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 34c | 34.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x590d…572dbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.