TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$322,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes68c21,581$14,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,671.0113547.4%64 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe6…4a1bbacked No16c19,249$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,247.053956.4%22 W · 17 L+10.1wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+330.1%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes7c19,226$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.8715947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c16,443$8,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,299.92,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No71c12,436$8,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,570.53650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde31…df79backed No34c9,835$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,491.281154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes44c9,833$4,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,310.665935.6%21 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes29c8,644$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.0614637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Yes37c7,513$2,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.024223.8%10 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No43c7,027$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,998.495156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked No63c6,966$4,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c6,322$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.113,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No35c6,158$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,003.5365535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked No16c6,153$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,149.823961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No16c6,131$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,130.7629654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No53c5,327$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.612540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes65c4,588$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes38c4,181$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.542,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No38c3,901$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.0612057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No70c3,688$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.243551.4%18 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked No42c3,331$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.88121%17 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd2…afcebacked No64c3,298$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No32c2,112$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.5166150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes30c2,043$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.63043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No37c1,968$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.5156849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a20…2b3ebacked Yes57c1,898$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No76c1,838$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-76.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes66c1,756$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.791,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No19c1,579$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.956969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed No10c1,552$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.83917.9%7 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767f…a705backed Yes12c1,546$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e3…7982backed No2c1,500$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick2cpaid+455.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39e7…ceedbacked Yes65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.982123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No32c1,475$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.8944156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No36c1,435$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.6637446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No34c1,398$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.272,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5dd…5df8backed Yes68c1,307$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed No16c1,289$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.175064%32 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes27c1,216$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.286630.3%20 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No20c1,210$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.72166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes67c1,137$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.75632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed No4c1,030$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick5cpaid+709.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No32c1,025$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.0169448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6802128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No49c991.44$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.012,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No43c982.15$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.9978344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No32c937.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.514443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes35c914.5$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.431,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No74c883.01$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.311844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No32c858.23$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.542941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No9c842$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.391154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+64.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No32c833.33$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6614744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Yes41c813.8$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.13046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d1…b2d2backed Yes38c779.39$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.39520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-70.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes66c778$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.7615352.9%81 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes32c740.83$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.022536%9 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed No28c698.39$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.221346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f8…0108backed Yes61c659.98$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.39944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No35c634.91$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.44650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes67c626.6$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.6611650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No54c544.44$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.442552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No27c533.7$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.35350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes29c522.38$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.83627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22563857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x590d…572dbacked No68c482.58$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No75c466.66$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.662755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No31c449.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.9977855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…195cbacked No29c447$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed No43c444.57$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.56761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No18c429$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.686245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No34c422.34$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.1555545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes40c402.09$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed No7c374.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+634.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No43c364$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.84856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed No62c356.67$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked No75c322.43$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes45c322.22$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes66c307$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.623953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No19c305$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.553237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c2…1e3abacked Yes67c304.48$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No33c303$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0188048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2462416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20720740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No69c297.84$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937859%46 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No74c293.32$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2217941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Yes69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No32c287.44$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5297346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No32c275.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0518732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes18c261.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1415544.5%69 W · 86 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Yes57c255.65$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39df…976abacked Yes69c242.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No64c239.33$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.248463.1%53 W · 31 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes64c234.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.995257.7%30 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…52adbacked Yes41c233.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No65c219.01$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.318244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.