South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbed3d6f20e0a71c27ffe892f0171a35b5732c3fface1c9607484843c803e3c50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 37c | 6,905$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.01 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 41c | 4,835$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.73 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 59c | 4,170$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 11c | 2,140$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 1,789$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 21c | 1,494$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.69 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 32c | 1,332$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.95 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 1,316$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.47 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 1,288$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.09 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 66c | 1,211$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.09 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 80c | 1,164$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.21 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 972.98$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.72 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 34c | 960.76$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 935.69$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3840…93ffbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 3c | 537.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 79c | 510.28$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 20c | 450$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.6 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 65c | 443.91$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.2 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 20c | 421.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 42c | 399.38$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.64 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 37c | 331.59$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 298$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 76c | 296.94$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 77c | 285.88$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 226.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 22c | 223.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 60c | 216.71$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 6c | 215$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 77c | 214.02$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 73c | 205.28$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 21c | 188$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed No | 32c | 180.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 37c | 159.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes | 77c | 128.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 123.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 19c | 119.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 115$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 23c | 113$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 80c | 111.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed No | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…10dcbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 74c | 99.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 34c | 94.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed Yes | 41c | 94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 61c | 82.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 81.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 71c | 79.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 62c | 76.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 61c | 65.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 64.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 65c | 47.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 76c | 43.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 59c | 41.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 76c | 34.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 61c | 28.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 74c | 27.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129a…f66fbacked Yes | 73c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…fba9backed Yes | 77c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…76f0backed No | 61c | 21.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 70c | 18.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 16.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 74c | 16.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 16.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-17?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?No won
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.