Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c2387556ae65abbc7cae455bcd5bb6e0e047c9c558db2051724dea802ab1ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3066…2993backed Under | 21c | 3,709$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +305.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 1,683$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed Under | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 75c | 900$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 805.02$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.45 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 498.32$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 63c | 477.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 71c | 360.73$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.43 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 29c | 357.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.84 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Over | 75c | 354.71$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 36c | 299.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 34c | 290.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 29c | 283.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 29c | 283.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 29c | 283.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 29c | 283.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 28c | 250.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 58c | 245.58$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 30c | 233.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 199.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 78c | 193.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 66c | 155.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 59c | 151.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 39c | 131.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 29c | 113.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 67c | 95.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 51c | 69.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 29c | 67.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 70c | 51.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 40.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Under | 49c | 40.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 37c | 38.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Over | 45c | 33.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 73c | 22.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Under | 63c | 19.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 62c | 16.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 68c | 16.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 65c | 15.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.