Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb1812650b350b795645fc8b02a6109b461466fcf00323e00098480cfbc8a0c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,132$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 999.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 50c | 888$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 838.15$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.97 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 784$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 52c | 585.48$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…d13abacked Over | 80c | 418.21$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 281.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 207.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 181.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 49c | 136.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 27c | 134.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 59c | 98.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 56c | 98.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 95.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 41c | 87.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 74c | 75.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 64.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 58c | 41.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Over | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 56c | 39.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 56c | 39.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 56c | 39.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 52c | 33.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 56c | 32.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 31.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 56c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5382…8d53backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.