Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05177ff1f7087dbf8e67df62e45762c8e3f5b389ee206401842a1cb7a50576bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 34c | 1,959$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 11c | 1,249$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 1,025$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.4 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 31c | 507.93$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Under | 70c | 435.83$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…2945backed Over | 16c | 427.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 77c | 340.55$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 39c | 302.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 32c | 280$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 233.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 214$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 164.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…08e1backed Over | 16c | 148.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 12c | 144.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 12c | 124.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 12c | 106.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 11c | 92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 12c | 86.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 66c | 81.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Under | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 67c | 79.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 69c | 68.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 69c | 68.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 24c | 59.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 36c | 54.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 74c | 41.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 75c | 36.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 78c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fd…4df6backed Under | 54c | 22.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed Under | 72c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Under | 71c | 15.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.