Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d5d523395fa889815c2c37e4d4d9ea59fd9a9a8f32b9b544be697500e21ebfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 536.82$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 57c | 396.59$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.47 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 54c | 388.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.82 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…07bcbacked No | 78c | 383.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 99 | 76.8%76 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 46c | 216.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked Yes | 22c | 182.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 45c | 179.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 30c | 166.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 64c | 155.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 19c | 149.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 117$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 35c | 116.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 44c | 108.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 46c | 105.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 46c | 105.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 103.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 52c | 86.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 82.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 57c | 81.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a2…e032backed Yes | 37c | 77.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 38c | 70.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 55c | 69.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 45c | 69.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…2c35backed Yes | 48c | 68.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 52c | 68.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 63c | 64.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9156backed Yes | 39c | 63.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 24c | 61.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 61c | 60.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9157backed Yes | 49c | 52.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 245 | 31%76 W · 169 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 41c | 48.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 51c | 47.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 47.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 25c | 46.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 66c | 45.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 34c | 45.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 23c | 45.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 47c | 43.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 63c | 42.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 48c | 41.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…ff0bbacked No | 64c | 40.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…9bb2backed Yes | 31c | 40.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 166 | 42.8%71 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…8990backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +82%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 48c | 38.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed No | 76c | 38.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 55c | 36.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed No | 76c | 32.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…7d26backed Yes | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 28.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 62c | 27.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked Yes | 48c | 27.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed No | 76c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…eb51backed No | 76c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30af…2c34backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 48c | 23.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…1094backed Yes | 64c | 23.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 65c | 22.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 65c | 22.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 47c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…8e07backed No | 73c | 20.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 54c | 20.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…511bbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…f8bfbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…bedcbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked No | 69c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 66c | 16.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.