Fifa International · resolved market
Will Thailand vs. Kuwait end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3cedd205549bc8a1d3ff069b045af217376a4b0dc82bc7c7e604e79321837ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 4,151$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.13 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 25c | 2,282$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.19 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 24c | 2,003$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.1 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 49c | 1,463$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.88 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…e6a2backed Yes | 75c | 966.65$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.66 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 63c | 890.3$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 843.45$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 783.34$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 663.65$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.88 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 26c | 446.4$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 18c | 436.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.22 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 67c | 402.78$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 26c | 393.19$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.96 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes | 68c | 367.85$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed No | 18c | 340.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 34c | 324.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 47c | 310.65$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 15c | 203.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 199$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 27c | 184$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 168.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 74c | 168.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bf…75b5backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 33c | 157.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 71c | 140.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 18c | 133.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Yes | 76c | 132.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 42c | 126.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 122.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 106$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 95.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…2a7dbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed No | 14c | 85.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 40c | 84.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…ea80backed Yes | 17c | 79.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…9782backed Yes | 26c | 78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 18c | 77.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…d386backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 192 | 25%48 W · 144 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…097ebacked Yes | 19c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 53c | 74.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 56c | 73.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 24c | 71.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 18c | 65.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 26c | 65.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 53c | 60.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 53c | 59.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 27c | 55.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…8ee5backed Yes | 36c | 54.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…3e81backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x868c…1703backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd014…c792backed Yes | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 32c | 48.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 47.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…c4aebacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 59c | 42.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 64c | 38.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 70c | 35.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 275 | 38.5%106 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 37c | 35.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 75c | 33.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 138 | 65.2%90 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 51c | 33.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 78c | 29.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 28.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed No | 71c | 24.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed No | 72c | 24.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb397…538ebacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1928…1171backed Yes | 78c | 17.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 70c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…3fa2backed No | 75c | 14.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Thailand vs. Kuwait end in a draw?this page
- Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05?No won
- Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.