TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Russia win on 2026-06-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,773 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed No3c4,221$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.914,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No34c3,351$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14393542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No13c3,022$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.4217513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed No36c3,011$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes69c2,860$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89741968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes77c2,174$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4758049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No37c1,797$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.863,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No13c1,601$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.824,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes65c1,438$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.7211561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed No37c1,310$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.531250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked No39c1,300$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.0912248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf061…a9aabacked Yes63c1,253$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes74c1,187$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.661,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked No43c1,081$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.487339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No25c1,063$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7322041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked No40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc97b…879dbacked Yes65c761.45$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.241361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22237451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No31c564.55$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0140736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes63c468.37$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.376551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bab…e6a2backed Yes65c459.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.734168.3%28 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes57c459$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3716833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes69c413.28$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.751,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No3c386.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.642048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No35c349.47$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.912,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes63c314.67$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4314738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.697663.2%48 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No29c299.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8632629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No35c298$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.261,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes69c278$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.112,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x794d…c228backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.974040%16 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes75c249$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2542640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e52…cbb9backed No37c236.41$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes72c229.84$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8551429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No27c222.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.821,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No27c219.1$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1633350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes64c215.09$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3516937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes63c212$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3663035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x147d…7c03backed Yes65c201.09$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.097157.7%41 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No26c200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Yes71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes71c199.98$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9918943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes72c196$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3113231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No28c195.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.665651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes63c190$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.311135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes63c181.97$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.322,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No11c181$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0226146%120 W · 141 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes59c179.75$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.957850%39 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes70c172.35$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5527745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed No8c163.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7327767.9%188 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d66…d311backed Yes64c156.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.221662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes63c153.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.922,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5227327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes63c150.71$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7641857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111346%52 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9311135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b50…ef4cbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.937762.3%48 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed No26c131.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.135619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No35c127.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5259752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5823951.9%124 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No11c120$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.620250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Yes63c119.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.46929%20 W · 49 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No35c118$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.318246.2%84 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No27c117.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6525454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes70c113$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.431,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed No29c106$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.745563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes71c105.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6318548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes69c103.34$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.678,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed No29c103.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3216425.6%42 W · 122 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278125.9%21 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes64c93.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8512958.9%76 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3116131.7%51 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed Yes75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208349.4%41 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3740145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No30c76.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4614342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe10…cbc7backed Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882b…2777backed Yes65c71.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.128655.8%48 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba4…26b5backed Yes65c70.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.797052.9%37 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No29c70.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4930751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf788…6cdbbacked Yes75c66.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.934746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No27c64.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.526155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes65c63.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1863151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Yes79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2924654.1%133 W · 113 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes66c60.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5548152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No34c60.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4321958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.228256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed No37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d2…c597backed Yes73c59.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes68c59.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.127254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6e…e760backed Yes74c53.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.992951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No31c51.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1735734.5%123 W · 234 L-0.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0d…bc8dbacked Yes66c50.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.536749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.512042.5%51 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No39c49.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4990840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No24c48.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7115947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Yes63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.628572.9%62 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No27c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4828554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.