Fifa International · resolved market
Will Russia vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cac7454baf6772eb60a191d0e4a1ae42180040a9c4e64bf682ad5e7385f9cc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 6c | 2,799$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…5518backed Yes | 24c | 2,108$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked No | 77c | 400$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 19c | 398.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 76c | 213.82$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 176$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 148$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 79c | 118$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 18c | 113.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 19c | 105.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 102.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 77c | 78.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 79c | 60.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 80c | 51.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…3288backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 77c | 24.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?this page
- Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-05?No won
- Will Russia win on 2026-06-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.