World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x488109f15465e3f0902d4a451e750efda727300491f73d9600a6c22a1ceff394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 43c | 747.35$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.69 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 52c | 606.05$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.19 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 395.1$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 40c | 376.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 34c | 279.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 43c | 264.72$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 51c | 249.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 45c | 219.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 65c | 207.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97f…8648backed No | 61c | 205.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 188.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 36c | 187.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 18c | 177.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 53c | 176.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 58c | 168$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 157.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 143.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 139$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 49c | 135$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 37c | 129$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 128.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 40c | 125.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 45c | 123$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 36c | 119.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 42c | 117.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 35c | 111$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 51c | 106.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 43c | 103.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 48c | 103.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 75c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…ca12backed Yes | 63c | 99.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 40c | 97.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked No | 42c | 96.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 32c | 92.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 52c | 91.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 54c | 91.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 77c | 89.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 51c | 88.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 49c | 80.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 42c | 79.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 52c | 78.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 52c | 76.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 55c | 69.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 52c | 67.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 40c | 66.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 36c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 78c | 64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 36c | 62.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 52c | 62.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Yes | 50c | 62.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…a35dbacked Yes | 54c | 61.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…6c2abacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 53c | 59.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 28c | 55.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 39c | 54.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 41c | 54.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 61c | 54.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 55c | 54.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…e97abacked No | 61c | 49.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 62c | 48.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 56c | 47.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 61c | 46.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66a…1d23backed Yes | 43c | 46.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 39c | 46.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 40c | 44.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 68c | 44.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9704…c785backed No | 57c | 43.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…48efbacked Yes | 29c | 40.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 41c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 38.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 62c | 37.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 65c | 37.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 35c | 37.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 76c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…002dbacked No | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 47c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 56c | 34.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23dc…9954backed Yes | 43c | 34.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 51c | 34.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…a6dabacked Yes | 42c | 33.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…94b8backed Yes | 37c | 33.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.