World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a3785219d804795991caaa525c5c6400ee9e69315ca337350cce0b4dcd06a68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 62c | 522.07$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.68 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 54c | 500.41$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.41 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 395.1$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 377$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.43 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed No | 5c | 358.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 42c | 348.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 30c | 326.22$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.74 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 326.2$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 15c | 257.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 46c | 237.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 5c | 237.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 36c | 233.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 24c | 210.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 207.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 37c | 203.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed No | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 32c | 179$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 39c | 175.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…ca12backed Yes | 71c | 172.55$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 165.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 161.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…b951backed Yes | 74c | 157.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83bb…b01fbacked Yes | 79c | 144.19$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 28c | 135$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 53c | 128.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 42c | 121.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 121$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 44c | 120.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 71c | 120.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 114.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 44c | 110.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 51c | 108.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 105.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 61c | 103.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0400backed Yes | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 52c | 97.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 95.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 65c | 88.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 39c | 87.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 48c | 85.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 40c | 82.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 26c | 81.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 17c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 45c | 74.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 42c | 73.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 32c | 71.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 57c | 71.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 62c | 67.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 54c | 65.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 35c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 63.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked No | 80c | 62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c9…08c5backed No | 60c | 57.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…608dbacked No | 63c | 57.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 69c | 57.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…6d6ebacked Yes | 22c | 55.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 71c | 54.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 60c | 53.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 35c | 52.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 58c | 51.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…7b63backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 39c | 50.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…6c2abacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 53c | 49.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4386…59ddbacked Yes | 40c | 49.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 71c | 48.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 43c | 47.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 62c | 46.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 62c | 46.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…a6dabacked Yes | 51c | 45.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 41c | 42.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 59c | 38.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 38.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 30c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 38c | 37.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 54c | 37.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 41c | 34.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 53c | 33.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 62c | 32.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 59c | 31.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…b923backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.