Fifa International · resolved market
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc454cc68fe61308cb55238e7aa22c498550da812bf7fa4852fd66a7ab546ba7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.84 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 43c | 7,912$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.34 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 71c | 7,240$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.74 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 5,963$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.52 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 5,782$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.27 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 5,008$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.97 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 80c | 3,890$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.54 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 44c | 3,786$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 70c | 3,381$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.86 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 56c | 2,678$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.45 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 80c | 2,571$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.59 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 2,358$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.3 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 43c | 2,324$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.34 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 56c | 2,273$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.19 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 1,828$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.68 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 57c | 1,765$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.5 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 41c | 1,521$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.64 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…9bf7backed No | 77c | 1,503$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,399$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.44 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 17c | 1,334$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.05 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,323$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.83 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaee…c167backed Yes | 43c | 1,241$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 1,239$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.8 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed No | 57c | 1,127$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.63 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 57c | 1,047$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.89 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Yes | 22c | 1,013$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 77c | 1,009$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.41 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 6c | 979.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 901.37$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.82 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 57c | 877.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.24 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 68c | 857$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed No | 57c | 817.22$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.4 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 705.08$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.08 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 595$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.71 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 43c | 594.77$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.61 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 76c | 586.22$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 41c | 565$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.87 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…16d6backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed No | 60c | 498.44$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 44c | 482.27$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.13 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 72c | 469.58$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Yes | 43c | 428.37$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.2 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 44c | 414.77$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.58 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 42c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 27c | 399.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 59c | 384.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…59dbbacked Yes | 14c | 357.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2291…b0c9backed Yes | 44c | 344.89$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 31c | 320$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…c167backed Yes | 31c | 317.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 57c | 277.24$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 22c | 276.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 42c | 274.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…baf6backed Yes | 38c | 270.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 259.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 257.74$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…c4c9backed Yes | 41c | 255.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…2fa1backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes | 44c | 229.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -19.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 57c | 218.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 138 | 65.2%90 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 33c | 212.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 72c | 211.35$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 28c | 210.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 56c | 209.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 207.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 39c | 198$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 43c | 193.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 41c | 185$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 68c | 177$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 172.41$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 44c | 168$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 14c | 158.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 72c | 155.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 140.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 73c | 135.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 72c | 131.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 44c | 129$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 30c | 123.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 57c | 122.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…2889backed Yes | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 62c | 119.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 78c | 116.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 27c | 114.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 44c | 113.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed No | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…1347backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 142 | 23.9%34 W · 108 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 60c | 99.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 133 | 72.9%97 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…7428backed Yes | 22c | 90.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Yes | 26c | 87.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Yes | 29c | 87.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05?this page
- Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05?Yes won
- Will San Marino vs. Bangladesh end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.