Will San Marino vs. Bangladesh end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf26ea6dce2b5a69decd650eb54d32c64c0109d08ba9a75b66f11f93cda1e0cd

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,655 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes	11c	2,727$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No	59c	1,292$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.45	175	69.1%121 W · 54 L	+14.4wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes	32c	1,037$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	58c	870.29$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.5	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes	79c	750.27$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No	64c	730.93$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.31	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	35c	614.72$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.63	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No	43c	602.01$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.5	175	35.4%62 W · 113 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No	69c	507.96$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.47	74	58.1%43 W · 31 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes	71c	507.07$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	210	48.6%102 W · 108 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Yes	46c	495.27$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-5.5wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No	37c	492.63$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.54	134	61.9%83 W · 51 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes	39c	489.09$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.01	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Yes	31c	384.2$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.1	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	39c	370.29$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.01	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked No	69c	332.93$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.21	169	37.3%63 W · 106 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes	76c	300$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	211	66.4%140 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	37c	283$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.72	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	58c	247.02$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.98	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x805b…ee0cbacked No	64c	245.2$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.4	238	44.1%105 W · 133 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	54c	229.25$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.41	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes	46c	203.81$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.31	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes	31c	190$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.9	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	55c	186.97$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.53	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes	40c	180$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No	32c	173$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.77	205	60%123 W · 82 L	+17.0wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes	37c	172.69$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.94	171	48.5%83 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes	31c	161.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Yes	13c	154.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	33c	146.14$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.04	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No	69c	142.99$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.46	444	35.4%157 W · 287 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	69c	136$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.46	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x068b…2106backed Yes	73c	133.38$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.97	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes	76c	131.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No	69c	128.17$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.73	244	48.4%118 W · 126 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No	77c	127.73$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.25	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes	53c	125.13$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.77	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed No	57c	123.6$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.91	271	45.8%124 W · 147 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	69c	123.08$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.15	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes	20c	120.62$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	34c	112.07$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.48	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No	52c	108.69$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.17	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	+7.8wins	+0.09per pick	12cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	55c	104.05$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.83	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Yes	46c	100.02$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.97	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No	24c	100$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	245	33.9%83 W · 162 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	514	58.8%302 W · 212 L	+25.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	69c	90.09$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.02	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes	14c	88.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	229	51.1%117 W · 112 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes	13c	83.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	168	33.9%57 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes	40c	82.78$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.11	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yes	48c	82.52$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.55	261	46%120 W · 141 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes	40c	80.64$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.26	248	40.3%100 W · 148 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No	60c	72.09$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.95	277	45.1%125 W · 152 L	-19.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10e5…b4e9backed Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	110	46.4%51 W · 59 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed9d…444abacked Yes	31c	63.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	29c	63.01$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.74	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	31c	62.61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b5a2backed Yes	49c	61.16$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes	52c	57.76$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	192	25%48 W · 144 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes	66c	49.9$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.85	277	67.9%188 W · 89 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes	25c	49.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.33	575	41.7%240 W · 335 L	-20.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	69c	46.45$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0550…c7efbacked Yes	30c	46.29$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes	40c	45.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes	30c	44.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	237	29.1%69 W · 168 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed No	55c	44.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.87	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes	40c	43.05$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.22	465	62.2%289 W · 176 L	+42.0wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39be…3e81backed Yes	55c	42.59$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+46%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Yes	47c	42.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	68c	41.17$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.98	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes	40c	40.87$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.35	359	54%194 W · 165 L	+20.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes	51c	40.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	36	72.2%26 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Yes	32c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	177	60.5%107 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No	47c	36.92$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.63	459	47.7%219 W · 240 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes	51c	35.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	333	45.3%151 W · 182 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…ccddbacked No	68c	35$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.35	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e92…d3d6backed Yes	45c	33.48$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	109	63.3%69 W · 40 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9920…7fccbacked Yes	65c	30.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	370	57.3%212 W · 158 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No	72c	27.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	180	53.3%96 W · 84 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	68c	23.13$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9939…f998backed Yes	64c	21.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	71c	21.28$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.17	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed No	66c	20.15$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.88	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No	57c	19.17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	175	13.7%24 W · 151 L	-19.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	68c	16.25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e8…6f45backed No	69c	15.29$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.79	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No	70c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	454	72.9%331 W · 123 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will San Marino vs. Bangladesh end in a draw?this page
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05?Yes won
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will San Marino vs. Bangladesh end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event