Asian League · resolved market
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cac3019acdc74f148c7f7c0144e8a84e88f9a7d05df37166a71864c7899d7ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Yes | 36c | 2,861$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 66c | 1,486$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 74c | 1,248$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.35 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 12c | 1,198$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.73 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Yes | 19c | 801.6$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 634.59$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.58 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 23c | 603.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.52 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 536.43$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.78 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 35c | 529.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.68 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked No | 14c | 420$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 371.53$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.21 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 47c | 365.59$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.38 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 36c | 360.57$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.97 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 63c | 354.72$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 346.23$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.65 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 45c | 332$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.79 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 205.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 71c | 197.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 45c | 175.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 25c | 173$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 171.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 23c | 170.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 165.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 55c | 164.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 20c | 147.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 36c | 142.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77a…d769backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +174.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 43c | 119.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 99.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 22c | 90.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed No | 64c | 65.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 34c | 63.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 33c | 46.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.6wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 35c | 43.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Yes | 35c | 43.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Yes | 36c | 42.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked No | 64c | 39.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed No | 72c | 33.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 33c | 32.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 64c | 23.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…6834backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…70e3backed No | 66c | 15.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 76c | 13.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?No won
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.