Asian League · resolved market
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35efdc5d528968ca5450024509163aed8d77e369f62e4e3f36f2972260af2ae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 6c | 19,126$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.05 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 15,067$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 9c | 6,323$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.99 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 10c | 4,170$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.11 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 7c | 2,095$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 72c | 1,380$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.79 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed No | 1c | 1,252$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 11c | 745.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 4c | 649.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 50c | 590$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 18c | 569.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 56c | 535.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 513.78$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.55 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 35c | 448$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.74 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Yes | 24c | 409.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.23 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afe…af69backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 26c | 383.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 11c | 337$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 36c | 297.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 265.94$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 75c | 262.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 262.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 34c | 253.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 212.04$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 36c | 201.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 68c | 198.17$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 27c | 192.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 17c | 192.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 28c | 178.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 12c | 169.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…ca25backed Yes | 47c | 164.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 159.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed No | 23c | 132.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 13c | 101.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 51c | 97.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 90.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 25c | 85.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 51c | 74.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 56c | 67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 76c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 24c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 26c | 59.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed No | 74c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 42c | 52.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed No | 61c | 48.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 51c | 46.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked No | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…01c3backed Yes | 39c | 43.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…6f72backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 60c | 40.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 73c | 34.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed No | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked No | 77c | 29.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 22.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 62c | 22.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…79a3backed Yes | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 80c | 19.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed No | 80c | 19.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked No | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1928…1171backed Yes | 74c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.