Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5377457980ad583b2e86cd5bd620f514dd0cb440e4bb99b7eae07caabe49c1b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 5,521$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.89 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 49c | 3,880$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.36 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 25c | 1,922$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.88 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 3c | 1,361$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 22c | 1,050$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf487…67c8backed Yes | 54c | 846.37$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed No | 74c | 676.72$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 50c | 442.12$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.12 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 64c | 399.98$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.88 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 345.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 340$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 310$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 282.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 45c | 231.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7d…54bfbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 199.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 26c | 190.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed No | 52c | 190.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 174.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 9c | 169.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 26c | 160.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 49c | 154.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 51c | 147.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…fe54backed No | 76c | 128.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Yes | 52c | 127.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 127.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed No | 72c | 126.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 53c | 123.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed No | 45c | 116.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 42c | 115.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 31c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…ea3ebacked Yes | 64c | 110.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 48c | 105.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Yes | 51c | 103.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 103.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 42c | 86.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 46c | 80.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed No | 53c | 78.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 35c | 76.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 49c | 63.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 52c | 59.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Yes | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…0a49backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 72c | 42.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 47c | 42.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 79c | 34.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 243 | 48.6%118 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 48c | 33.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Yes | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…2c03backed No | 53c | 31.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Yes | 55c | 27.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 55c | 27.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Yes | 55c | 27.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Yes | 56c | 27.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.6wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Yes | 57c | 22.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 56c | 18.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 214 | 74.3%159 W · 55 L | +44.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
- Will FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.