Fifa International · resolved market
Will Georgia vs. Bahrain end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda47bebb4b577b511273d49bb6136427baa83b00035a77abd7a5068cb6688c78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 15c | 23,526$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.5 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb334…1ae1backed Yes | 25c | 3,991$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Yes | 8c | 2,772$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 2,202$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.28 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,306$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 850$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 17c | 794.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 731.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…d50ebacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Yes | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Yes | 16c | 503.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 16c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 18c | 334.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 9c | 327.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 9c | 275.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…1fabbacked Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…ec23backed Yes | 11c | 260.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Yes | 8c | 258.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 17c | 226.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd014…c792backed Yes | 22c | 213.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 15c | 193.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…d386backed Yes | 15c | 137.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 25%48 W · 144 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 124.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…097ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…e261backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 18c | 72.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 80c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia vs. Bahrain end in a draw?this page
- Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-05?No won
- Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.