Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x861d01472e3fd1ccb9619b100cde05ea8e1b29c6c575989269ea9d1c29f1f893
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 7c | 14,795$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.34 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 8c | 11,461$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.91 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 5,828$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.48 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 2,582$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 4c | 2,492$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…d386backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 25%48 W · 144 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…ec23backed Yes | 7c | 344$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…e3a1backed Yes | 6c | 321.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…e816backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3e…9e72backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 8c | 239.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 5c | 214.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 6c | 199.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 7c | 187.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…af49backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-05?this page
- Will Georgia vs. Bahrain end in a draw?No won
- Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.