Tennis · resolved market
Kosice: Lukas Pokorny vs Tom Paris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e08d67aa50f770c9e5998793998740388f7209176dc2f5aa6332857094dbd4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lukas Pokornyof Lukas Pokorny, Tom Paris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Tom Paris | 68c | 22,099$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lukas Pokorny | 30c | 6,443$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513.76 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lukas Pokorny | 31c | 3,004$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.72 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Lukas Pokorny | 53c | 2,781$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.19 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lukas Pokorny | 55c | 1,955$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.39 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lukas Pokorny | 52c | 1,592$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.72 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lukas Pokorny | 36c | 1,237$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.38 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tom Paris | 50c | 865.96$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.37 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tom Paris | 57c | 727.77$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lukas Pokorny | 46c | 502.5$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.83 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lukas Pokorny | 29c | 502.34$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.49 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lukas Pokorny | 46c | 400$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Lukas Pokorny | 42c | 367.48$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.34 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Tom Paris | 41c | 367.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Lukas Pokorny | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lukas Pokorny | 49c | 240.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Lukas Pokorny | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Tom Paris | 45c | 223.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Tom Paris | 64c | 195.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…90ccbacked Lukas Pokorny | 59c | 186.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…09f8backed Lukas Pokorny | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lukas Pokorny | 34c | 165.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lukas Pokorny | 49c | 144.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Lukas Pokorny | 50c | 138$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…8ac5backed Tom Paris | 74c | 134.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lukas Pokorny | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tom Paris | 67c | 122.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lukas Pokorny | 54c | 121.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lukas Pokorny | 59c | 113.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lukas Pokorny | 46c | 108.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Tom Paris | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Lukas Pokorny | 53c | 93.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Lukas Pokorny | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Tom Paris | 49c | 83.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Lukas Pokorny | 68c | 81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Tom Paris | 32c | 74.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Tom Paris | 41c | 66.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lukas Pokorny | 48c | 63.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lukas Pokorny | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Lukas Pokorny | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Lukas Pokorny | 37c | 57.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lukas Pokorny | 35c | 56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…dcd6backed Tom Paris | 42c | 53.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Lukas Pokorny | 51c | 53.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 429 | 51.3%220 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…8475backed Tom Paris | 48c | 51.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Tom Paris | 58c | 50.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Tom Paris | 51c | 48.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Tom Paris | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…dea8backed Tom Paris | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lukas Pokorny | 53c | 38.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Tom Paris | 55c | 36.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ec…db9dbacked Tom Paris | 58c | 34.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Lukas Pokorny | 34c | 33.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lukas Pokorny | 36c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Tom Paris | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 590 | 50.5%298 W · 292 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Lukas Pokorny | 53c | 31.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Tom Paris | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Tom Paris | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 172 | 60.5%104 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…08debacked Tom Paris | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Tom Paris | 79c | 28.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Tom Paris | 69c | 17.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.