South American Leagues · resolved market
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x736e04de07a82e05b2f452fede9b9e9bba30aed866095f29d84064484162044b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Under | 52c | 62,001$32,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,027.16 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Over | 48c | 18,000$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,360 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Under | 51c | 8,473$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 8,249$4,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,095.58 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 48c | 5,864$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.1 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 48c | 5,755$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.6 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 49c | 5,358$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.02 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 4,398$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.34 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 48c | 3,900$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 3,308$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.57 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 52c | 3,114$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.42 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 2,571$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.01 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 49c | 2,547$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.18 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 2,183$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.95 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 2,064$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.46 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 44c | 2,057$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.65 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 48c | 2,053$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.76 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 48c | 2,009$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.77 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 47c | 1,999$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.52 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 52c | 1,861$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.32 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 53c | 1,737$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.77 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 49c | 1,696$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.02 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 49c | 1,691$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.55 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 50c | 1,456$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.75 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 1,409$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,267$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 50c | 1,159$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.66 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 50c | 1,120$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.18 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 53c | 1,024$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 48c | 856.99$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.63 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 49c | 816.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.32 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 28c | 739.41$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 53c | 692.24$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.89 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 630.26$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.49 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 48c | 594$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.33 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 48c | 590.27$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.94 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 53c | 547.27$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.05 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 48c | 486.11$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 72c | 474.45$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Over | 50c | 315.74$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 48c | 277.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.19 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 255.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 49c | 222.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 206$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Over | 49c | 201.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 51c | 195.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Under | 52c | 188.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Under | 53c | 181.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 50c | 171.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 142$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 53c | 133.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 116.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 38c | 116.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 114.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 51c | 103$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 77c | 102.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…7116backed Over | 48c | 101.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 53c | 92.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 48c | 91.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Under | 53c | 90.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Under | 53c | 90.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Under | 53c | 90.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 49c | 81.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 48c | 72.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 50c | 67.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 63.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 49c | 63.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 53.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Under | 52c | 47.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 47.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Under | 53c | 45.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5this page
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.