MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15d96b8dcdfc2d87964385bf98e90b75968a877a753afd32b3382713426570dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Doosan Bears, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 657.44$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.82 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 374.24$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 25c | 339.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Doosan Bears | 20c | 300.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Doosan Bears | 43c | 299.51$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed LG Twins | 73c | 254$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked LG Twins | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed LG Twins | 75c | 225$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked LG Twins | 52c | 220.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Doosan Bears | 30c | 190.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed LG Twins | 55c | 182.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed LG Twins | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 163$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed LG Twins | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 52c | 128.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 73c | 117.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed LG Twins | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed LG Twins | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 90.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed LG Twins | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 76.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed LG Twins | 54c | 72.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked LG Twins | 54c | 72.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked LG Twins | 53c | 65.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Doosan Bears | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 59.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked LG Twins | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 48.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…352ebacked LG Twins | 54c | 43.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 34.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Doosan Bears | 43c | 31.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked LG Twins | 67c | 20.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked LG Twins | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.