TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boston Red Soxof Detroit Tigers, Boston Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers33c3,728$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.168,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox66c3,622$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.28,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers40c3,249$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.181,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Boston Red Sox60c3,239$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.1632152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Detroit Tigers46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9977951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox73c2,800$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.292,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers28c2,715$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.8112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Boston Red Sox56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.579354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers45c2,582$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.455,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox74c2,351$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.0910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Detroit Tigers25c2,345$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.621,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox53c2,006$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.822,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d98…4d2dbacked Boston Red Sox54c1,741$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.742548%12 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox55c1,334$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.624,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Detroit Tigers31c561.03$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9267444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Boston Red Sox69c499.42$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.321,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Detroit Tigers41c450.78$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5365549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox75c411.8$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.973,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers44c316.05$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.722,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Boston Red Sox54c259.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2611961.3%73 W · 46 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Boston Red Sox57c240.56$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3657744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Detroit Tigers48c233.15$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9136440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Detroit Tigers33c195.84$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.131,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Boston Red Sox52c192.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.330844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Detroit Tigers23c179$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1799744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Boston Red Sox72c174.74$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3228154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Detroit Tigers48c166.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8079543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Detroit Tigers31c152.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1816242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Boston Red Sox53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9466551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Detroit Tigers32c149.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2852449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f42…8680backed Boston Red Sox57c148.42$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.428150.6%41 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1229…4b32backed Detroit Tigers48c131.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Detroit Tigers32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d00…7507backed Detroit Tigers48c123.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.39642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Detroit Tigers41c121$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6125648%123 W · 133 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers32c115.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.614,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Boston Red Sox63c111.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.261,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Detroit Tigers39c108.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5520044.5%89 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Boston Red Sox60c101$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.428446.4%39 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Boston Red Sox72c98.17$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.597558.7%44 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Detroit Tigers34c97.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2217354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Detroit Tigers12c92.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4219442.3%82 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Detroit Tigers29c83.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4194648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked Detroit Tigers48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024248.8%118 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Detroit Tigers31c81.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.167444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers31c76.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.876,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Boston Red Sox56c73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1247848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Detroit Tigers45c73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8572154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x409b…bbffbacked Detroit Tigers44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b2e…d2abbacked Detroit Tigers45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012548%60 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Detroit Tigers47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0872247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Detroit Tigers28c61.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1741847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers30c57.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Boston Red Sox54c56.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0948354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Boston Red Sox69c56.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5246659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Boston Red Sox55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5532647.9%156 W · 170 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Boston Red Sox62c53.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.282551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers32c52.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.695,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Detroit Tigers48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2562554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers35c51.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9771650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Detroit Tigers34c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Boston Red Sox65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.157152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Boston Red Sox66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.456552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Boston Red Sox66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.458145.7%37 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Detroit Tigers35c43.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0767453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x476b…0afabacked Detroit Tigers48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205757.9%33 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers34c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.366,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Boston Red Sox66c38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9221353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Boston Red Sox61c32.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7814353.1%76 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Detroit Tigers38c31.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128239%32 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Detroit Tigers48c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.434843.4%151 W · 197 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Boston Red Sox55c29.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0931650.6%160 W · 156 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Boston Red Sox70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5733051.8%171 W · 159 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Boston Red Sox54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7814358.7%84 W · 59 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox39c27.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.711,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Boston Red Sox56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1189950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Detroit Tigers45c24.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.831,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Boston Red Sox71c22.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5340148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Boston Red Sox66c20.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Boston Red Sox61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.86956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Boston Red Sox77c18.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1715349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Boston Red Sox67c18.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.023,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8e…85bcbacked Boston Red Sox66c17.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f6…f42cbacked Boston Red Sox60c16.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b8…d4b3backed Boston Red Sox67c16.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.517655.3%42 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Boston Red Sox66c15.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1910759.8%64 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.