MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e2998ba26fb22ac18cdc4ab541e97a7ed185d98bdce98cf43366a670aea1380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 56c | 15,310$8,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,736.51 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 12,493$6,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,266.66 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 11,119$5,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,933.68 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 36c | 6,602$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.71 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 5,410$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 4,878$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.89 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 4,333$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.32 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 3,952$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.35 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 76c | 3,618$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.7 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 2,896$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.22 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 43c | 2,798$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.85 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 71c | 2,672$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.48 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 62c | 2,668$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 44c | 1,887$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.66 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 58c | 1,729$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.53 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 55c | 1,666$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.66 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 1,591$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 48c | 1,451$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.68 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 55c | 1,262$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.96 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 44c | 1,215$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.4 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 50c | 1,088$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 58c | 830$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.37 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 806.88$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.41 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 794$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.95 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Under | 3c | 769.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 499.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.47 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 68c | 472.82$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.74 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 67c | 430.87$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.89 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 73c | 329.92$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.45 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 315.48$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 19c | 310.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Over | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 43c | 307.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 305.29$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.48 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…d111backed Under | 48c | 248.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 73c | 213.73$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 55c | 211.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 61c | 189.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 55c | 188$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.72 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 26c | 179.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 44c | 174.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 44c | 174.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed Over | 44c | 173.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 28c | 170.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 42c | 165$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 56c | 156.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Under | 70c | 137.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Over | 70c | 131.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 44c | 123$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Over | 44c | 110.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 55c | 110$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 104.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 54c | 100.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 42c | 94.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 57c | 94.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 55c | 93.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 26c | 92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 47c | 90.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 35c | 85.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Under | 22c | 83.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…839fbacked Under | 61c | 82.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 45c | 77.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 53c | 75.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 46c | 73.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Over | 45c | 68.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 35c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Under | 44c | 67.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 46c | 65.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 27c | 63.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 79c | 63.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 53c | 63.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 49c | 57.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 51c | 53.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Over | 45c | 53.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 42c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 46c | 52.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 51.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Under | 69c | 49.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 53c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Under | 74c | 41.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit TigersBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.