MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc221639cb22ad549e40b828d78247afe871fd5e53b451e2e5ece5915664e91bd

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Texas Rangersof New York Yankees, Texas Rangers
Resolved: May 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,949 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8753…85adbacked Texas Rangers	57c	4,304$2,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,854.95	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Texas Rangers	55c	3,755$2,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,689.85	311	49.2%153 W · 158 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees	44c	2,273$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Texas Rangers	51c	1,949$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$954.99	840	49.4%415 W · 425 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees	48c	1,545$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.34	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed New York Yankees	48c	1,325$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.82	267	59.2%158 W · 109 L	+17.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed New York Yankees	46c	1,088$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	165	43%71 W · 94 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed New York Yankees	11c	1,084$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.25	85	34.1%29 W · 56 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Texas Rangers	53c	1,036$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.75	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers	53c	925.66$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.45	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed New York Yankees	46c	908.62$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.87	1,010	48.1%486 W · 524 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers	54c	774.25$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Texas Rangers	52c	769.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.23	141	56%79 W · 62 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed New York Yankees	49c	555$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.95	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees	37c	551.91$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.41	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees	44c	549.05$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.24	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Texas Rangers	54c	548.41$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.27	272	54.4%148 W · 124 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Texas Rangers	58c	499.99$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.33	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2513…91fbbacked New York Yankees	46c	493.74$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.12	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees	46c	439$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.94	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked New York Yankees	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	228	48.2%110 W · 118 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Texas Rangers	51c	397.78$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.91	577	44.7%258 W · 319 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Texas Rangers	51c	392$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.08	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed New York Yankees	46c	328.3$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.02	281	54.4%153 W · 128 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed New York Yankees	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	294	46.6%137 W · 157 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed New York Yankees	45c	250$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Texas Rangers	51c	235.29$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.29	665	51.1%340 W · 325 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	478	49%234 W · 244 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked New York Yankees	49c	214.29$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed New York Yankees	49c	203.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	569	46.9%267 W · 302 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Texas Rangers	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	652	48.3%315 W · 337 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers	55c	175.79$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.76	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked New York Yankees	37c	173.52$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	137	27.7%38 W · 99 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers	62c	157.89$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed New York Yankees	50c	146$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	91	61.5%56 W · 35 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Texas Rangers	52c	143.99$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.54	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees	33c	133.78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.78	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Texas Rangers	51c	111$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.39	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked New York Yankees	45c	111$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Texas Rangers	54c	110$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.5	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Texas Rangers	55c	109.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	481	50.7%244 W · 237 L	-19.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed New York Yankees	44c	93.71$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.16	252	49.6%125 W · 127 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Texas Rangers	52c	84.62$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.62	312	50%156 W · 156 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees	48c	82.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	242	48.8%118 W · 124 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Texas Rangers	52c	78$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.44	478	48.5%232 W · 246 L	-15.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed New York Yankees	45c	77.78$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees	38c	76.64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.83	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cce…2ff1backed New York Yankees	45c	75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Texas Rangers	55c	70.91$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.91	466	59.7%278 W · 188 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	163	45.4%74 W · 89 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Texas Rangers	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	486	51%248 W · 238 L	-18.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Texas Rangers	53c	59.99$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.49	1,269	47.4%602 W · 667 L	-31.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees	43c	58.18$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.02	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Texas Rangers	53c	57.21$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked New York Yankees	49c	51.41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd0…2222backed New York Yankees	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	113	46.9%53 W · 60 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Texas Rangers	51c	49$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.01	213	53.5%114 W · 99 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fee…3d67backed New York Yankees	50c	47.7$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.73	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Texas Rangers	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	263	51.3%135 W · 128 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees	48c	45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	1,661	43.5%722 W · 939 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked New York Yankees	46c	41.63$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Texas Rangers	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	297	47.1%140 W · 157 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Texas Rangers	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	330	51.8%171 W · 159 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed New York Yankees	30c	35.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	841	22.7%191 W · 650 L	-81.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b2e…d2abbacked New York Yankees	45c	33.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	125	48%60 W · 65 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Texas Rangers	52c	30.77$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	316	50.6%160 W · 156 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15f…a199backed New York Yankees	49c	30.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	79	57%45 W · 34 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1be5…9d53backed New York Yankees	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc96b…438abacked Texas Rangers	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	274	52.6%144 W · 130 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Texas Rangers	52c	26.92$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.92	899	50.6%455 W · 444 L	-24.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Texas Rangers	57c	24.47$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.52	104	49%51 W · 53 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Texas Rangers	65c	19.94$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.98	946	48.9%463 W · 483 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
Spread: Texas Rangers (-5.5)New York Yankees won
Texas Rangers vs. New York YankeesTexas Rangers won
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event