Asian League · resolved market
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dd77b273bcf20a090dd12a47cdf11e4d917bae7ab80c9bd3c6a27bad5d6a903
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 15c | 4,407$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.23 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…f741backed No | 46c | 2,524$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.05 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 8c | 1,936$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.36 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,800$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.97 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 802.72$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.85 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 3c | 612.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13d…cbd1backed Yes | 4c | 521.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 49c | 501.38$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.69 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0593backed No | 73c | 469.02$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 51c | 325.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 273.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556a…273cbacked Yes | 7c | 269.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 255.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.03 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 25c | 203.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf752…101cbacked Yes | 52c | 185.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 65c | 177.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 28c | 168.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 135.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 130.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 12c | 127.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 67c | 125.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 54c | 107.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 18c | 107.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 31c | 94.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 15c | 93.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 16c | 86.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62aa…94febacked Yes | 53c | 81.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 27c | 75.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 37c | 75.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 53c | 73.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 25c | 72.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…0ba0backed Yes | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 47c | 61.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7101…884bbacked No | 48c | 56.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 70c | 52.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Yes | 52c | 50.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 54c | 45.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 44.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 48c | 44.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 33c | 44.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…5c12backed Yes | 53c | 42.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa058…21cebacked No | 48c | 40.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 54c | 40.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 47c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 52c | 37.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8a…23d0backed Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 78c | 33.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked No | 75c | 32.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 73c | 30.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 73c | 30.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Yes | 54c | 30.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 75c | 29.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…d397backed No | 75c | 23.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Yes | 53c | 23.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 53c | 21.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 53c | 21.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 53c | 21.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 53c | 21.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 49c | 20.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 73c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 73c | 19.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b77…5606backed Yes | 54c | 18.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked No | 75c | 13.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.