Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e0150ba5ff2f71c5f5c348012b3fbc8e24167319b9b1941f4b45f8e4514e8fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Yes | 80c | 4,752$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 3,458$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.5 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 16c | 3,400$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.99 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 2,170$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.23 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,028$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…f3e8backed Yes | 78c | 2,006$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,773$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.05 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes | 79c | 1,029$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 1c | 1,013$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 699.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 18c | 587.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 66c | 319.34$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 64c | 266.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 252.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.16 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 234.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 160.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.88 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 26c | 152.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed No | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 129.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 77c | 126.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13d…cbd1backed No | 13c | 118.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…08f7backed Yes | 77c | 107.26$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 24c | 100.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes | 78c | 99.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 23c | 94.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 85.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 72c | 83.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 62c | 80.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4be5backed No | 78c | 62.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Yes | 50c | 56.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 22c | 56.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 54.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Yes | 47c | 54.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 46c | 42.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 79c | 40.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed No | 37c | 39.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1704…2e46backed Yes | 79c | 37.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 79c | 31.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2a…a308backed Yes | 78c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…651bbacked Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 77c | 22.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 78c | 21.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 66c | 21.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7c…44b2backed No | 55c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21d…65eabacked Yes | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed No | 53c | 19.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 79c | 14.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 78c | 13.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 79c | 12.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.