Serie A · resolved market
Will US Lecce vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed48919ce1fbbe394cde10492100d9ae30f24d60ee2595d9131c4593f1e2c5e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 21c | 5,538$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 11c | 2,689$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 2,492$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.37 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 79c | 1,263$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.18 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 16c | 930.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 20c | 656.39$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.28 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed No | 80c | 651.15$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 651.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 80c | 634.1$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 592$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 21c | 572$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 21c | 520$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 11c | 492.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 80c | 456$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 20c | 370.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 20c | 360$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 79c | 340$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Yes | 21c | 328.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 326.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 80c | 302.81$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 10c | 289.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…a24abacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 20c | 241.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 12c | 170.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed No | 80c | 149.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Yes | 12c | 138.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 126.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 110.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 76.5%39 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Yes | 21c | 89.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 31cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Yes | 21c | 67.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 60.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 57.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 80c | 54.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed No | 80c | 51.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 50.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…0937backed No | 80c | 41.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…3294backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Lecce vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.